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Thursday, December 16, 2004

IJM remains a top construction pick

 

By HANIM ADNAN

 

IJM Corp Bhd remains one of the top picks in the construction sector with its huge order book estimated at RM2.2bil.

 

Analysts expect the outstanding order book to sustain IJM's construction earnings till end-2006. In addition, the group is aggressively building up its non-construction divisions, spearheaded by property and manufacturing.

 

Despite a challenging year amidst slow Government spending, IJM still managed to secure more than RM1.5bil worth of contracts in Malaysia.

 

Avenue Securities, in its recent notes, said that after under-performing the KL Composite Index by 19% for some 12 months, IJM's stock saw improvement in the past three months. In recommending an “outperform” on IJM with a 12-month target price of RM5.90, it said it expected the group to bid for more projects in Malaysia and abroad, namely, in the Middle East and India, its stronghold.

 

The potential big projects include a build-operate-transfer highway project in India estimated at RM480mil, KTM Bhd's rail track rehabilitation works estimated at between RM100mil and RM300mil, and the West Coast Expressway project estimated at between RM300mil and RM600mil.

 

Avenue Securities said IJM had also been linked to business tycoon Tan Sri Syed Mokthar Al-Bukhary's Tanjung Bin Power Plant civil works (RM1.2bil), Port of Tanjung Pelepas expansion (RM1bil) and Senai Airport upgrade (RM1.5bil).

 

“However, these projects are not likely to kick off soon as financing has yet to be finalised,” said the research unit.

 

In India, apart from highway projects, Avenue Securities said IJM had the potential to tap into power expansion plans. “We believe IJM has a strong chance to secure a few power plant projects in India given its involvement in Guotami Power Ltd's 600MW combined cycle plant.”

 

In property, IJM is in the midst of acquiring additional land for future development. The company secured four major joint-venture property development projects in Kuala Lumpur and Selangor this year.

 

These projects, together with the mixed development project in Penang, would enable IJM's property division to register stronger profits in FY05-07, the research unit said.

 

A construction analyst said IJM managed to strengthen its manufacturing division after acquiring Hume Industries (M) Bhd's 32.6% stake in Industrial Concrete Products Bhd (ICP) in May.

 

He said: “ICP's potential overseas is huge, especially in India and China.” Currently, ICP's order book stands at RM120mil, its highest level ever.

 

The analyst noted that ICP was also awaiting the results of RM300mil worth of jobs tendered for locally and abroad. 

 

“IJM management has indicated that the success tender rate for ports and power plants are relatively high, about 80% in Malaysia, while buildings has lower success rate due to competition from other cheap piles players,” he added.

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